Abandoning Iraq

February 16, 2008 at 10:24 am | In Politics | 1 Comment
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Both Senator Obama & Senator Clinton are promising to remove our troops from Iraq almost immediately upon their election. While I certainly don’t believe that the terrorists will “follow us home.” I do believe that an immediate pull out in Iraq is probably the worst thing we can do.

I liken the situation in Iraq to a domestic disturbance. Saddam Hussein is an abusive father. The citizens of Iraq are his abused children. The US plays the role of the well meaning police department. It plays out pretty simply: After years of abusing his family and supporting criminal activities in his neighborhood, the police opt to raid the Hussein household and take the bastard into custody. The children in the home are initially very happy to see the police storm through the front door. Mr. Hussein hides in the basement for a while, but eventually the police find him and drag him to jail, where he belongs.

Sounds great so far.

Here’s the problem. The police opt to move into the Hussein household in order to teach the ‘children’ how to be ‘productive members of society’ (ie a democracy). The police then toss out anyone in authority in the Hussein household because those authorities were associated with the abusive father and are probably going to be abusive as well (makes sense, right?). Now, the only authority figures in the house are the police and those persons that the police have selected – through one means or another – to be the new authorities. One more wrinkle: the police are not particularly liked in the Hussein neighborhood. For whatever reason the neighbors believe that the police are corrupt, and need to be expelled from the Hussein household at best, and at worst simply want the police dead.

Imagine you are the children of the Hussein household. You’re glad the police showed up – even if they did kick down the door and destroy most of the furniture. But then they move in. They make it clear that they are going to be there a while, and what’s worse: they tell you that the way you’ve been doing things is wrong. Who wouldn’t get mad? Would you want the police setting up camp in your living room? No. Even if you thought the police were genuinely interested in helping you, you’d want them out as quickly as possible. When the criminal elements in the neighborhood start riddling your house with bullets because they hate the cops, you want them out that much more. Some of the kids might even join with the criminals in order to get the police out.

So far, this probably seems like a good reason for us to pull out. But here’s where things twist.

If the police decide to pull out, who becomes the authority of the Hussein household? The leaders formally supported by the police will almost certainly be killed by the criminals in the neighborhood. Even with police support, these leaders are occasionally murdered. Take that support away, and the Iraqi leaders won’t last long at all. With the Iraqi leaders removed, a power vacuum will all but force someone to take control. Hopefully, that new leader will be someone who supports the police. But it is far more likely that the criminals will take over, and will themselves be ousted by one of Iraq’s neighbors after years of abuse and bloodshed.

Both Clinton & Obama want to pull us out of Iraq. But, that plan is hugely short-sighted. As much as I deplore the methods used to get us involved in Iraq, we have to stay there until things approach some level or normalcy. We Americans made this mess, we have to see it through to the end. To do anything else is going to simply bring the Iraqi people more grief, and make our “enemies” stronger.

To my mind, we have to be permanent residents in Iraq for 10-20 years or more.

I’m hoping that if elected, Obama will recognize the error of his plan, and will reconsider. Clinton, however, knows exactly what the cost of a withdrawal will be, and doesn’t care. Somehow, she’s convinced herself that we don’t have a responsibility to the Iraqi people, and that if we leave a power vacuum it will somehow magically fill with pro-American rainbows and sunshine. If Clinton has the experience she’s been touting, she’s knows this is pure wishful thinking. (Of course, as an experienced politician, it’s likely she’s just telling Democratic voters what they want to hear.)

McCain, on the other hand, seems to have a pretty firm grasp of whats really at stake. He’s not using the Bush fear-o-matic to get people into line, but he’s also no dummy. I don’t agree with McCain on a lot of issues, but at least he’s not got his head in the sand with regard to Iraq.

General Election

February 9, 2008 at 12:10 pm | In Politics | Leave a Comment
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Sorry I’ve been gone for bit. That’s no excuse, just an explanation.

I’m the kind of person who actually stayed up to watch the Super Tuesday primaries. I was very happy to see McCain take the unofficial mantle of Republican party front-runner. Knowing that McCain’s operation was almost DOA at the beginning of the primary season, it makes me wonder how the pundits determine who the front runner is? Giuliani, who was the front-runner, was out of the race before super Tuesday. McCain, who the pundits thought was a gonner, is now on top. Kinda makes you wonder if these guys even know what they are talking about, doesn’t it? Why even listen to them if they’re just guessing anyway?

On the Democratic side, things are getting very interesting. From what I can tell, here’s how things tallied up (includes super-delegates):

Alabama: Clinton: 23 delegates – Obama: 21 (winner?)

Alaska: Clinton: 5 delegates – Obama: 10 delegates (winner)

Arizona: Clinton: 33 delegates (winner) – Obama: 27 delegates

Arkansas: Clinton: 35 delegates (winner) – Obama: 8 delegates

California: Clinton: 217 delegates (winner) – Obama: 164 delegates

Colorado: Clinton: 10 delegates – Obama: 15 delegates (winner)

Connecticut: Clinton: 23 delegates – Obama: 29 delegates (winner)

Delaware: Clinton: 8 delegates – Obama: 9 delegates (winner)

Georgia: Clinton: 23 delegates – Obama: 42 delegates (winner)

Idaho: Clinton: 3 delegates – Obama: 17 delegates (winner)

Illinois: Clinton: 45 delegates – Obama: 111 delegates (winner)

Iowa: Clinton: 18 delegates – Obama: 18 delegates (winner)

Kansas: Clinton: 10 delegates – Obama: 24 delegates (winner)

Massachusets: Clinton: 61 delegates (winner) – Obama: 44 delegates

Minnesota: Clinton: 27 delegates – Obama: 51 delegates (winner)

Missouri: Clinton: 38 delegates – Obama: 40 delegates (winner)

Nevada: Clinton: 14 delegates (winner?) – Obama: 14 delegates

New Hampshire: Clinton: 11 delegates (winner?) – Obama: 12 delegates

New Jersey: Clinton: 69 delegates (winner) – Obama: 49 delegates

New Mexico: Clinton: 17 delegates – Obama: 13 delegates

New York: Clinton: 177 delegates (winner) – Obama: 94 delegates

North Dakota: Clinton: 5 delegates – Obama: 12 delegates (winner)

Oklahoma: Clinton: 24 delegates (winner) – Obama: 14 delegates

South Carolina: Clinton: 14 delegates – Obama: 26 delegates (winner)

Tennessee: Clinton: 39 delegates (winner) – Obama: 27 delegates

Utah: Clinton: 11 delegates – Obama: 14 delegates (winner)

Note: I didn’t count Michigan or Florida as their delegates were canceled because they dared to have their primaries early.

So, Clinton won Arizona, Arkansas, California, Massachusetts, Nevada*, New Hampshire*, New Jersey, New York, Oklahoma, and Tennessee (*= won the state but did not get majority of delegates). If you look at this more closely, Clinton’s votes are almost all regional. She won Arkansas (with it’s neighbors Tennessee & Oklahoma), New York (with it’s neighbors Massachusetts, New Jersey & New Hampshire). She also won California (with it’s neighbors Arizona & Nevada). In my opinion, the only wins that are really meaningful are California, Nevada & Arizona. States where she didn’t already have long-term roots established. When you further consider that Clinton only won Clark (ie Las Vegas) county in Nevada it seems that Clinton is not a solid “national” candidate. In other words in the general election, Clinton will almost certainly lose.

All that is to say: if you’re a party voter (and I’m not) it seems that Clinton is not the best choice to win in the general election against McCain.

hara-kiri

January 28, 2008 at 10:38 am | In Culture Wars | Leave a Comment
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Imagine being stupid enough to strap yourself to a lie detector on national television and subsequently asked questions designed to make not only you, but your wife and family laughing stocks of the entire nation. That’s the premise of FOX’s new “Moment of Truth” reality show.

Lets just say that the host of the show, an amazing well groomed and expertly painted Mark Wahlberg, asks you a loaded question. (That is, after all, the premise of the show.) Your wife and kids are in the audience, watching and if you get this one ‘right’ you win the big money ($500,000.00). “Have you ever cheated on your wife?”

Lie detectors measure changes in perspiration, blood pressure and pulse. You’re nervous because there’s $500,000 on the line, your hot & sweaty from the lights, and your wife is sitting there, shocked and embarrassed by the question. You realize this was a horrible idea, and your blood pressure shoots up. You’ve never even thought about cheating on your wife. You tell the truth, but the lie detector says you are lying. Not only did you not get the money, but you’ve now just sunk an ax into your marriage. Sure, you can explain to your wife that the lie detector got it wrong and that you’ve never cheated on her. Lets say she’s a saint and she believes you,. She’ll still have to walk down the street with people muttering behind her back: “Her husband got caught cheating on her on that ‘Moment of Truth’ show!” And what about the kids? They get to go to school the next day and face their peers. We all know how kind and supportive children can be to one another.

seppuku: medieval japanese ritual suicide aka hara-kari. That’s what shows like this are. You take a risk at getting the big prize, but if you fail it’s all over. You don’t just lose the big money, but you lose your self-respect, and you embarrass your entire family. In medieval japan, a samurai would commit ritual suicide rather than live with this kind of public embarrassment.

Shows like this hurt my head. It hurts to know that there are people greedy/stupid enough to air their dirty laundry not just in public, but in prime-time. But even more, it hurts my head to know that there are people out there who like to watch. They actually have nothing better to do than watch another human being commit social hara-kiri. They are entertained by it. 23.2 million people tuned in to watch the premier of “The Moment of Truth.” The most watched premier in over a year.

To be fair, I can understand that some people might have ‘checked it out’ after “American Idol” ended, and found that they then couldn’t look away. Perhaps they were caught by the shock and awe of it. Like a train wreck: you want to look away, but you can’t. You watch the horrible even from beginning to end. My sympathies to these people. With luck they’ve learned to stay away from FOX television.

As if all of that weren’t bad, what about the flip side? The scumbags who do everything wrong. They lie, cheat and steal and, more to the point, they are good liars. These people can go on a show like this and reap huge rewards that a decent wo/man could never gain. The show rewards liars and (potentially) punishes people who have the decency to be embarrassed when asked deeply private and personal questions in public.

It’s possible that I may be missing something. I wasn’t one of the 23.2 million viewers who watched the premier, so maybe theres a deeply spiritual and uplifting heart to this show that hasn’t made it onto the blogosphere. Somehow, I doubt it. And its certain that I’ll never know.

X Marks the Spot

January 23, 2008 at 9:52 pm | In communications | Leave a Comment
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In my first post I introduced the concept of the Big X and how we are each at the center of our own “X.” While it’s important to recognize that we are in the center of our own experience, there is still a need to understand where that center exists.

To do this, I provide my clients with a simple list of adjectives describing personality traits along each of the four axes. Clients are then asked to mark which they believe apply to them. A person might mark 4 extrovert traits, 6 “heart” traits, 2 introvert traits and 1 “mind” trait. Scores along the same axes (extrovert/introvert and mind/heart) are then compared and the individuals core personality traits are revealed. In the example above, the person is a mild extrovert (extrovert 4 minus introvert 2 = extrovert 2) and moderate “heart” person (heart 6 minus mind 1 = heart 5). This person’s “center” is E4H5.

(It is important to keep in mind that while the person in our example has a core personality trait of extrovert/heart, the person still has introvert and mind traits. More on that in a later post.)

Now lets say a second person takes the same test and scores E4H9. Both people scored Extrovert/Heart, but to our E4H5 person, the E4H9 person is wildly emotional, while the E3H9 person might view E4H5 as thoughtful – perhaps even as cold. The way these two people view each other illustrates how we each see ourselves at the center, regardless of how “extreme” or “subdued” our personality traits might be.

You might be thinking: “That’s great, but what good does it do me?” First and foremost, this system gives us a measurable mechanic for how one person thinks differently from another. Let me put it another way: We all know someone that we just don’t “get.” With this system, we have a measurable, quantified means of understanding why we don’t understand the other person.

But, it goes farther than that. Some people don’t work well together because their personality types are so different. But others who are very different, might work together very well. The hard-charging Extrovert/Mind tends to just run right over the top of the soft-spoken Introvert/Heart. But the energetic Extrovert/Heart stimulates the Introvert/Heart and kicks them into even higher levels of productivity. Meanwhile, the Introvert/Mind can reign in the Extrovert/Heart, keeping him/her from racing out of control.

Understanding how the Extroverts, Introverts, Hearts and Minds work together and influence one another can really help turn an uncomfortable work environment into a happier – and more productive – place.

All this Extrovert/Mind, Introvert/Heart stuff gets to be a bit of a mouthful however, so I’ve come up with mnemonics to help describe them and keep them separate in our heads. But we’ll get to that in a later post.

Mitt Romney: Political Chameleon

January 20, 2008 at 9:53 am | In Politics | 5 Comments

Of all the people currently running for the office of President of the United States, I think Mitt Romney is the one who worries me the most. Mr. Romney has shown a remarkable ability to throw out his “deeply held” personal beliefs in favor of whatever happens to be politically expedient at the time. In other words, the only thing Mitt Romney truly believes in is the promotion and elevation of Mitt Romney. My guess is that Mr. Romney is running for President of the United States not because he believes he can lead us into a better tomorrow, but because it’s the highest office in the land. In the realm of self-promotion, it doesn’t get any higher than President of the United States.

The press has, for the most part, stopped talking about it, so I thought I’d throw this reminder out there. Mitt Romney has reversed his position on following issues:

There are more issues that the Governor has flipped on, including campaign finance reform, minimum wage increases, stem cell research, I only included those above because they seem to be ‘core’ Republican values – items that the majority of Republicans seem to agree on. For a more comprehensive list, take a look at this site.

Republicans I ask you this: do you want a man in the oval office who represents nothing but his own self-promotion? Mitt Romney is using your beliefs – beliefs that he does not hold in his own heart – as a spring board to the presidency. If elected, what do you think Romney will do with the power at his disposal? You can only assume that he’ll use that power to further promote himself.

So, if you are supporting Mitt Romney’s run for the highest office in the land, I urge you to re-think your support.

Improving Communications

January 16, 2008 at 8:09 pm | In communications | Leave a Comment
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As I mentioned in the “About Me” page, I do communications consulting on the side. It seems appropriate, therefore, to explain my communications strategy to start this blog off.

To my mind, a person’s personality exists on a coordinate system set up by two axes. These axes are introversion/extroversion (aka shy/outgoing) and mind/heart (or intellectual/emotional). No point on the resulting grid is any more important or valid than any other point, and to illustrate this, then entire structure is placed on it’s side, like a large letter “X”. I encourage each person to think of themselves as the center of the coordinate system. They are not ‘extremely shy’ or ‘very emotional’ or ’somewhat bland.’ Each person, is instead, just right; exactly in the center and the people they know exist in the continuum around them.

One of the key elements of The Big X however, is its mutability.  This is best explained by example: Perhaps you want to be more intellectual, you put effort into this, and over time slightly modify your personality to be less emotional and more thoughtful.   Rather than move farther along the “mind” axis, however, your position on the grid remains in the exact center, but the people around you move slightly to along the “heart” axis.

Staying in the center of our grid might seem odd.   After all, we changed, not the rest of the world.  But in reality, we continue to be the center of our own existence.  We continue to rate people in relation to ourselves.  We might occasionally compare one of our contemporaries to another, but for the most part, we think of the people we know in terms of ourselves.  We might say “Bob is not as shy as I am.” or “I wish I was more intellectual, like Jane.”

In a later post, I’ll explain how we determine where the center is, and how we explain our presence there.

-C

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